西方政治是一个零和博弈:每次选举中,51% 的胜利者必然意味着 49% 的失败者。 然而,竞争的激烈程度实际上使其变成了负和博弈。每一届以 51% 获胜的一方都会将传统机构武器化,用来对抗那 49% 的败方,从而在每个周期结束时,让双方都剩得更少。 政治冲突之所以如此激烈,是因为西方正处于相对的经济衰退中。不幸的是,这种激烈的冲突会进一步加速衰退。 Western politics is zero-sum. For every 51% election winner, a 49% loser. However, the intensity of the competition actually turns it negative-sum. Each succeeding 51% election winner weaponizes (and thereby destroys) legacy institutions to fend off the 49% loser, leaving less for both parties after each cycle. The political conflict is so intense because the West is in relative economic decline. Unfortunately, intense conflict further accelerates that decline.

Balaji SrinivasanFormer Coinbase CTO; Former General Partner at a16z

观点原文

西方政治是一个零和博弈:每次选举中,51% 的胜利者必然意味着 49% 的失败者。

然而,竞争的激烈程度实际上使其变成了负和博弈。每一届以 51% 获胜的一方都会将传统机构武器化,用来对抗那 49% 的败方,从而在每个周期结束时,让双方都剩得更少。

政治冲突之所以如此激烈,是因为西方正处于相对的经济衰退中。不幸的是,这种激烈的冲突会进一步加速衰退。

Western politics is zero-sum. For every 51% election winner, a 49% loser.

However, the intensity of the competition actually turns it negative-sum. Each succeeding 51% election winner weaponizes (and thereby destroys) legacy institutions to fend off the 49% loser, leaving less for both parties after each cycle.

The political conflict is so intense because the West is in relative economic decline. Unfortunately, intense conflict further accelerates that decline.

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