在贸易战之后,中国将贸易路线从美国转向了其他国家。美国在中国出口中的占比实际上已经降至约 15%,这意味着中国并未完全依赖美国市场。 有人会认为这是一种“双赢”局面——中国继续向其他国家出口商品,而美国则专注于发展本土制造业。类似地,在“人才战”之后,印度也在将人才流向从美国转向其他国家。目前,美国仅占印度海外侨民的约 17%,说明印度人才也并未完全依赖美国市场。同样地,也有人认为这是一种“双赢”——印度继续向其他国家“出口人才”,而美国则着力培养自己的本土人才。 他们都去了哪里?印度人才的第一大目的地可能正转向阿联酋及更广泛的中东地区,而第二大目的地可能是新加坡。 这标志着一场全球人才流向的重新布局。 After the trade war, China rerouted trade away from America towards other countries. The US actually got down[1] to 15% of Chinese exports, so China wasn’t fully dependent on the US market. Some would argue that’s a win/win — China just exports goods to other countries, and America builds up its homegrown manufacturing. Similarly, after the talent war, India is rerouting talent away from America and towards other countries. The US actually has only ~17% of the Indian diaspora[2], so Indians aren’t fully dependent on the US market. Some would also argue that’s a win/win — India just exports talent to other countries, and America builds up its homegrown talent. Where do they go? The #1 destination for Indian talent may shift to the UAE and the Middle East more generally, while the #2 could be Singapore. A global rerouting of talent flows.

Balaji SrinivasanFormer Coinbase CTO; Former General Partner at a16z

观点原文

在贸易战之后,中国将贸易路线从美国转向了其他国家。美国在中国出口中的占比实际上已经降至约 15%,这意味着中国并未完全依赖美国市场。

有人会认为这是一种“双赢”局面——中国继续向其他国家出口商品,而美国则专注于发展本土制造业。类似地,在“人才战”之后,印度也在将人才流向从美国转向其他国家。目前,美国仅占印度海外侨民的约 17%,说明印度人才也并未完全依赖美国市场。同样地,也有人认为这是一种“双赢”——印度继续向其他国家“出口人才”,而美国则着力培养自己的本土人才。

他们都去了哪里?印度人才的第一大目的地可能正转向阿联酋及更广泛的中东地区,而第二大目的地可能是新加坡。

这标志着一场全球人才流向的重新布局。

After the trade war, China rerouted trade away from America towards other countries. The US actually got down[1] to 15% of Chinese exports, so China wasn’t fully dependent on the US market.

Some would argue that’s a win/win — China just exports goods to other countries, and America builds up its homegrown manufacturing.

Similarly, after the talent war, India is rerouting talent away from America and towards other countries. The US actually has only ~17% of the Indian diaspora[2], so Indians aren’t fully dependent on the US market.

Some would also argue that’s a win/win — India just exports talent to other countries, and America builds up its homegrown talent.

Where do they go? The #1 destination for Indian talent may shift to the UAE and the Middle East more generally, while the #2 could be Singapore. A global rerouting of talent flows.

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