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Truth Social Co-Founded by Trump Sees July Traffic Drop by Approximately 36% Year-on-Year

Trump co-founded social platform Truth Social has seen a significant decline in traffic this summer. Web monitoring company Similarweb estimates that July's monthly visits dropped by approximately 36% year-on-year, with a slightly larger decline in June. In comparison, larger platforms X and Threads saw an increase in traffic during the same period.

The average traffic for the first seven months is also weakening: the average monthly visits for the first seven months of 2025 were about 28 million, while for the same period in 2026, it was about 25 million. Howard Polskin, who tracks right-wing media, noted that he has monitored traffic for many years, and this drop in slope was unexpected; Trump still uses the platform as a megaphone, and logically, the numbers should not be declining.

The parent company, Trump Media & Technology Group, reported losses during the same period: a net loss of approximately $238.1 million in the second quarter of 2026, with revenue of less than $2 million for the quarter. In the first quarter, it reported a net loss of approximately $406 million and revenue of about $871,000, with minimal contribution from advertising. The company attributed most of the losses to unrealized losses on digital assets, pledged assets, and equity securities, with total assets at approximately $2 billion at the end of the quarter.

As traffic declines, the company is selling the Truth API to Wall Street, providing near real-time alerts for Trump's posts, with subscription fees reaching up to $100,000 per month. Democratic lawmakers criticized this as effectively monetizing presidential statements that could impact tariffs and the Iran conflict. The company claims that clients are simply seeing publicly available posts faster, which is a common business practice. There are also lawsuits alleging that obtaining official information in advance is unconstitutional.

The platform launched in 2022. In April, there was a significant year-on-year increase: statistics indicated that visits reached about 48.8 million that month, a 45% increase year-on-year, briefly placing it among the top right-wing sites in terms of traffic. The summer decline indicates that peaks are tied to elections and major policy windows, and daily retention has not kept pace with the density of the president's posts. The stock price has fallen from around $60 at its peak after going public in 2024 to about $9.

In market mechanisms, ordinary users sell attention, while institutions buy time differences. The decline in traffic weakens the advertising market, and the paid API shifts pricing from cost per thousand impressions to "who sees the president's sentence first." Funds are shifting from mass social advertising to high-frequency information and cryptocurrency volatility. The beneficiaries are trading desks that can afford to pay for early access; the pressured parties are publicly traded companies relying on traffic to tell growth stories, as well as retail investors and media that can only wait for public timelines. The event-driven nature comes from the overlap of earnings report windows and API launches, rather than a single product revision.

Additionally, Similarweb measures website visits rather than official daily active users; early estimates of monthly active users are far lower than those of X, Threads, and Reddit. The company has not disclosed the breakdown of July's independent users and advertising unit prices.

Source: Public Information

ABAB AI Insight

Truth Social has not grown according to Facebook's logic from the start. After being banned from mainstream platforms in 2022, Trump started anew, planning to go public via SPAC in 2024, turning political mobilization into public company equity. Traffic has historically followed him: peaking during election and inauguration periods, while maintaining a daily level far smaller than its media volume. Howard Polskin, who has tracked right-wing sites for years, noted that this summer's drop indicates that "the president's daily posts" no longer automatically translate into site retention. Historical comparisons show that Gab and Parler surged after events but failed to retain advertisers afterward—vertical political social media almost always dies in the same way: users come for the stance, not to leave a relationship map.

Capital has already shifted direction. With advertising struggling, they turned presidential posts into a data product: paying up to $100,000 a month for a faster machine-readable interface. This transforms the public company from a media company into a "front channel for policy information trading." A significant portion of the $238 million loss is due to unrealized losses in cryptocurrencies and securities, indicating that the balance sheet is also using risk assets to fill the void in social business. The Trump family trust holds shares, with his son in related roles, and the overlap of corporate governance with White House communication channels is precisely what the lawsuits aim to challenge.

Truth Social is not comparable to X. X relies on global dialogue and advertising plus subscriptions; Truth Social is closer to embedding Bloomberg terminal news windows into the president's personal account. Meta's Threads saw an increase in visits during the same period, indicating that users have not left social media but have left this smaller platform. The company is transitioning from a "traffic story" to "access monetization."

The structural judgment indicates a shift in pricing power. The mechanism is: when mass traffic can no longer support valuations, the scarcity is not in fan numbers, but in who sees sentences that can influence tariffs and war expectations first. The pricing of social platforms has shifted from CPM to delayed arbitrage. Ordinary timelines are depreciating, while APIs are appreciating. Whoever controls the posting button is selling the advance of national actions by a few seconds.

ABAB News · Cognitive Laws

  1. A megaphone does not equal traffic, and traffic does not equal revenue.
  2. The public leaves the homepage, while institutions remain for the interface.
  3. After failing to sell attention, they start selling time differences.

Source

·ABAB News
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8 min read
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