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CFTC Chairman Michael Selig: Financial Transformation in the Next Decade Will Exceed the Total of the Past Several Decades

Michael Selig, Chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stated at the U.S. Treasury Market Annual Conference hosted by the New York Fed that regulators and markets must prepare for "massive tokenization": with the development of tokenization, on-chain finance, and 24/7 trading, changes in financial markets over the next decade are likely to exceed the total of the previous several decades.

Selig noted that the entire Trump administration has laid the groundwork for this transformation, with a path that embraces innovation, encourages competition, and seeks to "right-size" regulation. He pointed out directions including promoting asset tokenization, allowing around-the-clock trading, and integrating stablecoins into the core of the derivatives market. The CFTC will seek to "encourage exchanges, clearinghouses, and market participants to responsibly adopt stablecoins." He believes that once blockchain and AI are scaled, their impact on reshaping financial market structures will surpass any comparable period, necessitating adjustments to existing market rules.

The CFTC has already taken several substantial actions. In December 2025, the CFTC launched a digital asset collateral pilot program, allowing assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and USDC to be used as margin in the derivatives market, and issued Employee Letters No. 25-39 and No. 25-40. In February 2026, the CFTC included stablecoins issued by national trust banks in the list of qualified collateral. Over the past year, the CFTC has also issued guidance on 24/7 trading in the energy derivatives market and publicly sought opinions, and on July 9 of this year, it postponed the launch of a 10-barrel WTI crude oil futures contract by CME. On September 17, the CFTC submitted a draft rule numbered RIN 3038-AF80 on "Cryptocurrency Asset Trading and Cryptocurrency Asset Market Regulation" to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA), planning to establish a new designated contract market (DCM) registration category for cryptocurrency exchanges, while also issuing Employee Letter No. 26-25, expanding the non-prosecution exemption for passive cryptocurrency software developers.

The failure on the legislative front has pushed regulators to the forefront. On September 15, the Senate conducted a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act, a digital asset market structure bill, which received only 49 votes, failing to meet the 60-vote threshold, and the bill was shelved. Two days later, the SEC issued an "innovation exemption," allowing U.S. stocks listed on federal securities exchanges (NMS stocks) to be traded in token form on licensed on-chain trading venues, with a 5-year exemption period. Additional conditions include: a 30-day prior notice before tokenization, the issuing company has the right to object; tokens must represent real ownership and grant holders the same dividends and voting rights as traditional stocks; synthetic tokens, derivatives, and debt instruments are excluded. SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated that this exemption allows companies to "operate in a licensed environment today while the commission assesses whether further action is needed."

Selig himself is a key executor of the shift in cryptocurrency regulation. From 2014 to 2015, he served as a legal assistant to then-Commissioner J. Christopher Giancarlo at the CFTC; from 2022 to 2025, he was a partner at the law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher, with clients including eToro and Paradigm; in 2025, he became the Chief Legal Advisor for the SEC's cryptocurrency working group and concurrently served as a senior advisor to Atkins. He was nominated by Trump in October 2025, confirmed by the Senate on December 18, and sworn in as the 16th Chairman of the CFTC on December 22. Following the departure of the last commissioner, Caroline Pham, Selig became the only commissioner on this typically five-member committee. Since taking office, the CFTC has submitted several amicus briefs supporting prediction market platforms, including asserting exclusive regulatory authority over prediction markets in a lawsuit involving Crypto.com and the state of Nevada this February.

In terms of market mechanisms, this is expectation-driven trading driven by policy signals, not a single event. Potential buyers are platforms laying out tokenized assets and 24/7 trading: CME, which has announced 24/7 trading for cryptocurrency futures and options; Coinbase, which acquired Deribit for $2.9 billion in 2025; Robinhood, which launched tokenized U.S. stocks in Europe; and exchanges like Kraken that issue xStocks. Stablecoin issuers Circle and stablecoin issuing institutions holding national trust bank licenses will directly benefit from the opening of collateral eligibility. Funds are shifting from the traditional "T+1 settlement, weekday trading" system to on-chain infrastructure that allows for 24-hour settlement with stablecoins as collateral. Traditional clearing, custody, and brokerage institutions that rely on trading hours, settlement cycles, and custody tiers to earn intermediary fees are under pressure; additionally, platforms relying on temporary exemptions for operation also bear the risk of policy reversals in light of the CLARITY Act being shelved.

Supplementary data: The SEC's innovation exemption period is 5 years. The CFTC's new rule draft requires two rounds of public comment and two rounds of OIRA review, and binding formal rules are not expected until the end of 2027 at the earliest.

Source: Public Information

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Selig's regulatory path can be traced back to his former boss, J. Christopher Giancarlo, known as "Crypto Dad." In 2017, Giancarlo approved the launch of Bitcoin futures on CME and Cboe during his tenure as CFTC Chairman, marking Bitcoin's first entry into the U.S. regulated derivatives market. After leaving office, he co-founded the Digital Dollar Project in 2020 to promote the digitization of the dollar. While a partner at a law firm, Selig represented crypto clients like eToro and Paradigm; after joining the SEC, he participated as Chief Legal Advisor to the cryptocurrency working group in reversing the "enforcement over regulation" approach during Atkins' tenure, including withdrawing lawsuits against Coinbase, Binance, and others. His transition from the SEC cryptocurrency working group to CFTC Chairman signifies a continuity of personnel and thought between the two regulatory agencies on crypto policy.

On the capital front, Wall Street has already made early moves. BlackRock plans to launch an on-chain tokenized treasury fund called BUIDL in March 2024, which will subsequently be accepted as margin for derivatives by several crypto exchanges; Franklin Templeton registered shares of its money market fund FOBXX on a public blockchain as early as 2021. DTCC received a non-prosecution letter from the SEC in December 2025 to initiate a securities tokenization pilot. Coinbase's $2.9 billion acquisition of Deribit secured the largest crypto options market globally; Robinhood plans to launch tokenized U.S. stocks in Europe after acquiring Bitstamp in 2025. Their common logic is that whoever first masters the issuance, custody, and margin interfaces of tokenized assets will occupy a central clearing position in the 24/7 market. The CFTC's opening of stablecoins and tokenized assets as collateral directly opens funding channels for these layouts.

A historical analogy is the electronic trading revolution of the 1990s. In 1992, CME launched the electronic trading platform Globex; over the next 20 years, trading floors were gradually phased out, allowing CME to complete acquisitions of CBOT (2007) and NYMEX (2008), becoming a global derivatives giant, while the group of on-floor brokers that did not keep up essentially disappeared. Another comparison is the "May Day" reform in 1975, which eliminated fixed commissions for stock trading in the U.S., giving rise to discount brokers like Charles Schwab and reshaping the brokerage industry landscape. Currently, tokenization is in an early expansion phase characterized by "regulation leading, legislation lagging": the SEC and CFTC are paving the way with exemptions, pilots, and employee letters, but the failure of the CLARITY Act means there is no permanent legal authorization, and the next administration could theoretically withdraw all arrangements.

Structural judgment: This represents a regulatory change, fundamentally shifting from congressional legislative dominance to administrative agencies leading through exemptions. This shift occurs due to three mechanisms: first, the CLARITY Act was stalled at the 60-vote threshold in the Senate, obstructing the legislative path, forcing administrative agencies to advance with existing authorizations; second, the CFTC is left with only Selig as a commissioner, with no opposing votes or dissenting statements, achieving historical decision-making efficiency; third, tokenization and 24/7 trading break traditional barriers of "exchange opening hours" and "T+1 settlement," creating new demands for collateral, clearing, and margin rules; if regulators do not change the rules, the market will migrate offshore. The cost is that a rule system based on exemptions and employee letters has a lower legal hierarchy and higher reversibility: the faster the policy, the thinner the system. Once the political winds shift, the on-chain structures that are legalized today may become centralized compliance risks tomorrow.

ABAB News · Cognitive Laws

  1. Where legislation fails, exemptions will pave the way first.
  2. The day trading hours are broken, the moat becomes a runway.
  3. Whoever defines collateral defines the next generation of currency.

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·ABAB News
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12 min read
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