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Musk: 99% of Computing Power Will Be Used for Inference in the Long Term

Elon Musk replied that in the long term, 99% of computing power will be used for inference.

The event-driven AI infrastructure narrative is shifting from training to inference, benefiting inference chips and deployment funding, while training-dominated investments are relatively adjusting.

Source: Public Information

ABAB AI Insight

Musk has previously discussed AI computing power allocation multiple times, including server-side and space computing; this emphasis on the proportion of inference reflects the sustained demand for model deployment far exceeding one-time training.

On the capital path, public judgments guide industry focus on inference efficiency, motivated by matching actual deployment scenarios like xAI and Tesla; resources are shifting from large-scale training clusters to high-throughput inference infrastructure.

Similar cases can be seen with other AI leaders predicting the ratio of training to inference; the industry is currently transitioning from a peak in training to scaling inference.

This essentially represents a technological substitution: the focus of computing power is shifting from model training to large-scale inference services, driven by continuous demand generated from user interactions and real-time applications, far exceeding consumption during the training phase.

ABAB News · Law of Cognition

  1. Inference demand will ultimately far exceed training demand

  2. Long-term computing power allocation is determined by usage scenarios

  3. Public judgments can accelerate capital reallocation