Lee转发 2025 年之所以真的让人觉得“更糟”,是因为在 2022 年,虽然坏事也很多,但加密行业是舞台中心,是故事主角。 当时价格下跌,你还能把原因归结为一些明确的负面事件,而且你知道那些事件最终会过去。 但现在,加密像是被遗忘的孩子,AI 和“七巨头(Mag7)”成为绝对主角。散户的注意力都在数据中心、量子计算、稀土股票上。 加密市场的下跌不是因为特定利空,而是因为: * 没有催化剂 * 疲惫 * 缺乏关注 * 缺少买家 * 以及漫长的“DAT(代币分配/空投)宿醉”效应 这是否意味着加密结束了?不。但所谓的“4 年周期”和“altseason(山寨季)”已经是过时概念。如果你想赚钱,你必须真正创造价值 —— 对许多人来说,这才是最残酷的现实。 2025 is unironically “worse” because in 2022 bad things were happening but crypto was the center of the action and the star of the show. You could ascribe negative price action to catalysts that you knew we were going to work through. Now crypto is the forgotten child, with AI and the mag7 starring. Retail is focused on datacenters quantum and rare earth stocks. Crypto is trending down based on no catalysts, just exhaustion and lack of attention and buyers and a long DAT hangover. Does this mean it’s over? No just the “4 year cycle” and “alt szn” are obsolete concepts. To make money you have to actually deliver value, and that’s a grim prospect to many

Thomas LeeChairman, Bitmine

观点原文

Lee转发

2025 年之所以真的让人觉得“更糟”,是因为在 2022 年,虽然坏事也很多,但加密行业是舞台中心,是故事主角。

当时价格下跌,你还能把原因归结为一些明确的负面事件,而且你知道那些事件最终会过去。

但现在,加密像是被遗忘的孩子,AI 和“七巨头(Mag7)”成为绝对主角。散户的注意力都在数据中心、量子计算、稀土股票上。

加密市场的下跌不是因为特定利空,而是因为:

  • 没有催化剂
  • 疲惫
  • 缺乏关注
  • 缺少买家
  • 以及漫长的“DAT(代币分配/空投)宿醉”效应

这是否意味着加密结束了?不。但所谓的“4 年周期”和“altseason(山寨季)”已经是过时概念。如果你想赚钱,你必须真正创造价值 —— 对许多人来说,这才是最残酷的现实。

2025 is unironically “worse” because in 2022 bad things were happening but crypto was the center of the action and the star of the show. You could ascribe negative price action to catalysts that you knew we were going to work through.

Now crypto is the forgotten child, with AI and the mag7 starring. Retail is focused on datacenters quantum and rare earth stocks. Crypto is trending down based on no catalysts, just exhaustion and lack of attention and buyers and a long DAT hangover.

Does this mean it’s over? No just the “4 year cycle” and “alt szn” are obsolete concepts. To make money you have to actually deliver value, and that’s a grim prospect to many

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