Trump Media & Technology Group Reduces Truth Predict Market Plans, Limits Marketing Cooperation with OG.com
Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) is scaling back its prediction market business. According to the latest disclosed documents, Truth Predict is still in the development stage, initially limited to marketing and promotional cooperation with OG.com, a subsidiary of Crypto.com.
When first announced in 2025, Truth Predict was planned as a full service embedded in Truth Social, supporting Truth gem points redeemable for Cronos tokens and participating in predictions for events such as sports, inflation, and elections. Currently, it is unclear whether users will be able to trade directly on the platform.
The prediction market industry is rapidly expanding, and the Trump administration has a friendly attitude towards this field. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig emphasized that it falls under federal derivatives regulation and has sued state governments that restrict operations.
Source: Public Information
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TMTG previously highlighted Truth Predict as a core expansion of the Truth Social ecosystem, and this adjustment is the latest signal of a slowdown in the ambitious 2025 plans. Similar to Newsmax's concurrent application for "Newsmax Markets," right-wing media are generally attempting to enter the prediction market, but actual progress faces development and regulatory pressures.
In terms of capital pathways, TMTG is shifting resources from independent prediction market system development to lightweight marketing cooperation with Crypto.com, motivated by a desire to reduce self-built compliance costs while leveraging OG.com's existing infrastructure, while still retaining future embedding options; the Trump family, through Donald Trump Jr., serves as an advisor at Kalshi and invests in Polymarket, continuing to maintain an influential network in the industry.
Similar to Kalshi and Polymarket, which have established partnerships with mainstream media such as CNN, CNBC, and Fox, the current prediction market is in a transitional control phase from a regulatory gray area to a federal framework of media + platform integration. The CFTC has withdrawn its investigation into Polymarket and is promoting cooperation with sports leagues, creating a friendly regulatory environment.
Essentially, this is a restructuring of the industry chain: the prediction market is evolving from independent crypto-native platforms to a collaboration model with traditional media and compliant exchanges. The mechanism is that after the Trump administration's CFTC policy provides certainty, media entities choose low-cost marketing entry rather than heavy asset self-construction to avoid insider trading and state gambling regulatory risks, while converting user traffic and point systems into long-term monetization channels.
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When ambitious plans are implemented, they first reduce to marketing cooperation, then wait for regulatory dividends. Family networks are more enduring than self-built platforms; whoever controls regulatory friendliness controls the entry rights. The prediction market is not about who goes online first, but about who can safely convert political traffic into compliant revenue.