Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong: The Old System Took Shape in the 1970s, Needs the Clarity Act
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong summarized crypto assets as faster, cheaper, and more efficient financial services, stating that the old system took shape around the 1970s, with parts still running on outdated mainframes, making weekend transfers and low-cost wire transfers impossible. He emphasized the need for the Clarity Act to allow the U.S. to lead with clear rules rather than letting the old system and uncertainty prevail.
In the same week, he mentioned on a podcast that the White House has convened industry and regulators to discuss the bill, expecting a Senate vote on September 15. The House passed H.R.3633 on July 2025 with a vote of 294 to 134, and the Senate Banking Committee released it in May 2026 with a vote of 15 to 9, subsequently moving it to the legislative calendar. The House did not complete the vote before the summer recess, and the majority leader arranged for a procedural vote after reconvening. Armstrong also wrote that they need to secure over 60 votes by September 15, or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission will use existing authority to set rules the next day; he prefers a written law to avoid reinterpretation by the next administration. The bill aims to delineate the regulatory boundaries between securities and commodities digital assets. He referred to Bitcoin as digital gold and described stablecoins, payments, lending, prediction markets, and tokenized stocks as on-chain expansions; he noted that Coinbase's spot Bitcoin trading accounts for about 12% of revenue, with the rest coming from derivatives, prediction markets, stablecoin payments, and tokenization. Among the G20 economies, countries like the UK already have trading frameworks, while he described the U.S. as an exception in the largest financial market.
The Clarity Act is still a bill, not law. He described the banking provisions as granting banks about 13 new business permissions in exchange for support from traditional financial institutions. Stablecoin revenues, ethical provisions, and Trump-related assets had previously stalled Democratic votes. The probability of passing the prediction market bill dropped from a high at the beginning of the year to about 30% before bouncing back after the White House meeting.
In market mechanisms, this is a lobbying window pricing, not an on-chain settlement upgrade. Buyers are exchanges and tokenization platforms seeking federal licenses and listing paths, while sellers are Congress's agenda and the 60-vote threshold. Funds do not flow into the mainnet because of a single post but rather into Washington and the implied volatility of COIN valuation regarding "September 15." Beneficiaries are licensed exchanges that have prepared product lines according to future written laws, while those under pressure are platforms that rely on regulatory vacuums for products and the wire transfer networks still using weekday batch settlements. Weekend settlements are a selling point for stablecoins, and whether the bill passes will determine if this selling point can become the default option for U.S. retail.
In supplementary remarks, the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission stated that if Congress continues to delay, they will use existing authority to establish leverage and margin trading systems, which adds pressure to Armstrong's "two paths."
Source: Public Information
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Armstrong uses the mainframe and weekend wire transfers as political rhetoric, with the real goal being the Senate's 60 votes. The Clarity Act writes the boundaries between the SEC and CFTC into law, allowing exchanges to place spot, derivatives, stablecoin payments, and tokenized stocks on the same U.S. license map. The 12% revenue from Bitcoin spot trading indicates that Coinbase's growth story is now reliant on the latter three; without written law, those three can be reinterpreted by the next chair at any time. September 15 and 16 are set as deadlines to hand over the backup plan for legislative failure to the two committees' rules, while reminding lawmakers: not voting will still result in rules, but those rules can be overturned by the next administration.
The capital path is lobbying for market structure. The White House meeting puts Armstrong alongside other exchanges, venture capitalists, and prediction markets in the same frame, with the GENIUS stablecoin law and strategic Bitcoin reserves being the first half that has landed, while Clarity represents the second half. Granting banks "new permissions" pulls opponents into the bill's benefit circle, reducing resistance in the chamber. COIN stock price and Bitcoin weekly trends treat the voting probability as a macro factor for trading, rather than treating the wire transfer system as a technical debt to be repaid.
The analogy is the 1930s securities law drawing lines for the securities industry, and in recent years, the UK has introduced trading frameworks while the U.S. still relies on enforcement cases. The industry is at a stage where stablecoins have been legislated, but market structure laws are stuck in the Senate. Mainframes will not go offline because of a single tweet, while ACH weekend closures have become a selling point for stablecoins.
Structural changes belong to regulatory changes. Whoever has the legal classification power over digital assets owns the exchange product catalog. The mechanism is: written law increases the durability of rules, while temporary rules from the two committees increase flexibility but also raise the risk of policy reversal; once banks are written into new permissions, lobbying shifts from confrontation to sharing the spoils. The lack of weekend settlements in the old clearing system serves as a product description for the new track and is also a sentence the bill must convey to the constituency.
ABAB News · Cognitive Law
Weekend wire transfers that cannot arrive are the best advertising phrase for the new track.
Written law buys the layer that the next administration cannot change.
Granting banks new permissions often helps a bill pass more than defeating banks.