Polymarket: Probability of Fed Rate Hike in September Rises to 65%

Polymarket, a prediction market, shows that the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September has reached 65%, as Waller warned policymakers against being "lax" on inflation.

Market expectations are rapidly adjusting due to inflation data and officials' statements.

This probability reflects traders' latest judgments on the monetary policy path.

Source: Public Information