The Kobeissi Letter points out that major fiat currencies have been in a long-term bear market against gold since 1971
The US dollar has depreciated by 99.24%, the British pound by 99.57%, the euro (if it exists) by 99.08%, the Japanese yen by 98.27%, and the Swiss franc by 96.07%; during the same period, the price of gold in US dollars has increased by 11,119%.
From a market mechanism perspective, long-term currency depreciation drives continuous capital allocation towards hard assets like gold, benefiting gold holders through value preservation and risk hedging premiums, while holders of pure fiat assets face pressure from ongoing loss of purchasing power.
Source: Public information
ABAB AI Insight
1971年布雷顿森林体系崩溃后,黄金与美元脱钩,各国转向 fiat 货币扩张政策,此数据延续了黄金作为“终极货币”的历史表现,与过去50多年历次通胀周期中黄金的避险属性高度一致。
资本路径上,央行与投资者将储备从纯法币转向黄金增持,动机在于对冲长期货币贬值与债务扩张风险,而非依赖单一国家信用体系。
类似案例包括1980年黄金大牛市、2008-2011年金融危机后黄金上涨,以及近年全球央行大幅增加黄金储备;当前正处于高全球债务环境下法币信任持续弱化的阶段。
本质属于资本集中:全球财富从 fiat 货币体系向稀缺硬资产迁移,机制在于1971年以来的货币政策范式导致法币系统性贬值,使得黄金获得长期定价权与资本聚集优势。
ABAB News · 认知定律
法币长期永远熊市,黄金长期永远牛市。
印得越多,贬得越狠;持有越稀缺,留得越久。
优秀资产对抗时间,法币臣服于时间.