Iran has just launched missiles and drones at Qatar, UAE, and Jordan in response to recent US airstrikes
Targets include military facilities in the aforementioned countries, aimed at retaliating against US military actions on Iranian soil.
Market mechanisms show that risk aversion in the Middle East is driving oil and gold purchases, with energy-exporting countries experiencing capital outflows while defense stocks benefit, and global supply chains are pressured by risks in the Strait of Hormuz.
Source: Public Information
ABAB AI Insight
The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran has previously used missiles and drones for asymmetric retaliation against regional targets, similar to the attacks on US bases in 2020 and multiple actions against Israeli and Saudi facilities in recent years, forming a historical pattern of "offensive instead of defensive".
In terms of capital strategy, Iran mobilizes its domestic missile stockpiles and drone clusters to demonstrate resolve through rapid counterattacks, motivated by the need to maintain regional deterrence and domestic cohesion, shifting resources from nuclear negotiation leverage to direct military responses to counter the pressure from the US-Israel-Gulf alliance.
Similar to Iraq's sporadic retaliations after the Gulf War in 1991 and the escalation during the tanker crisis in 2019-2020, Iran is currently in a defensive counterattack phase under siege.
Essentially, this is a restructuring of the industrial chain (energy security chain): Iran attacks bases of Gulf allies, threatening US logistics and oil facilities, which mechanically forces an increase in regional energy trade costs, reshaping global risk pricing for stable supplies from the Middle East, and accelerating energy diversification and military defense investments.
ABAB News · Cognitive Laws
- The faster the retaliation, the more evident the deterrence; the weaker the strength, the more urgent the counterattack.
- When conflicts escalate, energy prices rise first, followed by safe-haven assets.
- There is no peace in choke points; asymmetric strength leads to cyclical retaliation.