The US has previously weakened opponents' anti-ship capabilities through surgical strikes in similar Middle Eastern conflicts, such as the 1991 Gulf War and recent actions against Houthi forces, achieving short-term control by targeting infrastructure with precision-guided weapons.

In terms of capital pathways, defense contractors gain additional orders and budget reallocations, while the US cuts off Iran's oil revenue through sanctions and blockades, simultaneously encouraging allies to increase military purchases and diversify energy procurement, concentrating resources towards Western military industries and alternative energy channels.

Similar to Israel's long-term suppression of Iran's proxy network and the US's repeated air campaigns in Iraq, the current US strategy is to maintain control over the freedom of navigation in the strait rather than full occupation.

This fundamentally represents regulatory changes and industrial chain restructuring, as military actions force global energy trade routes and pricing mechanisms to bypass high-risk areas, with the mechanism being that major powers reshape control over key channels through military projection, leading to a permanent shift of capital from fragile dependencies to diversified sources and military-secured pathways.

ABAB News · Cognitive Laws

Control over the strait determines oil price trends, with military force being the ultimate pricing lever.
During escalations, sellers fear while buyers are greedy, with energy capital typically fleeing first and chasing later.
Blocking trade routes is equivalent to imposing an invisible tax, with those who control the channels collecting long-term rents.