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US Government Debt Doubles in Ten Years to $39 Trillion

US government debt was approximately $19.5 trillion ten years ago and has now risen to $39 trillion, nearly doubling.

This increase reflects a decade of persistent fiscal deficits, pandemic stimulus, infrastructure spending, and the snowball effect of interest, with the debt exceeding the total US GDP.

Current debt growth remains high, increasing by tens of billions of dollars daily, highlighting long-term fiscal sustainability pressures.

Source: Public Information

ABAB AI Insight

US Treasury historical data shows that in FY 2016, debt was about $19.57 trillion, and since then, both the Trump and Biden administrations have failed to effectively control it, continuing the debt monetization path established after the 2008 financial crisis. A similar rapid expansion occurred during the early Reagan era, but was later mitigated through growth.

In terms of capital, the Federal Reserve has internalized demand for government bonds through debt purchases and low interest rates, shifting resources from the private sector to the government, motivated by the need to maintain economic stability and political spending capacity, while attracting foreign investment and pension fund holdings, creating a "borrow new to pay old" loop; sovereign funds and institutions continue to increase their holdings of US debt as reserve assets.

Similar to the post-WWII debt/GDP exceeding 100%, which was later diluted through growth and inflation, and lessons from the European sovereign debt crisis of the 2010s, the US is currently in the late expansion phase of a "debt supercycle," with rising interest rates accelerating interest expenditure and squeezing budget space.

Essentially, this is a concentration of capital: the modern monetary system allows the government to monetize future tax revenues and global reserve currency demand through issuing sovereign debt, mechanically shifting pricing power from taxpayers and private borrowers to the issuing government and central bank, concentrating resources towards the public sector and interest beneficiaries, while amplifying long-term inflation and growth dependency risks.

ABAB News · Cognitive Law

The fastest way to double debt is to never repay the old debt.
Borrowing is easy, repaying is hard; the larger the scale, the more it becomes a systemic anchor.
Growth can absorb debt, stagnation makes debt absorb growth.

Source

·ABAB News
·
2 min read
·16 hrs ago
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