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S&P 500 Closes at All-Time High

English financial data and market reports show that the S&P 500 closed at an all-time high, with the index reaching a new high range, reflecting a further increase in the overall valuation level of large-cap stocks. Large tech stocks, AI-related companies, and heavyweight financial stocks are the main drivers of the latest rally, with index levels significantly higher than peaks from several years ago.

Several English institutions comment that this is seen as a "new era of overvaluation under high interest rates" in the U.S. stock market, pointing out that earnings expectations, the AI investment cycle, and passive fund inflows have collectively driven up valuations. However, some analysts warn that the new high in the index is accompanied by significant divergence among its constituent stocks, with a few mega-cap companies contributing most of the gains, while traditional industries and small-cap stocks have significantly lagged behind.

Source: Public Information

ABAB AI Insight

The index's new high is primarily a "structural manifestation of asset price inflation." The historical trend of the S&P 500 shows that, over the decades, nominal levels have risen significantly, and rather than linear growth, it is more of a stepwise revaluation under the alternating effects of inflation, technology cycles, and monetary easing. At this stage, even with interest rates still relatively high, the market is willing to purchase future earnings at higher valuations, indicating that capital still tends to concentrate on the U.S. equity market among global optional assets.

Structurally, this is the explicit manifestation of the "AI and giant premium" at the index level. The contribution of heavyweight stocks—especially in AI infrastructure, cloud computing, semiconductors, and platform-based internet companies—to the index is continuously increasing, making the S&P 500 increasingly resemble a "basket of leading U.S. tech and financial assets," rather than a broadly representative sample of the real economy. This means that the new high in the index reflects more of a revaluation of leading companies rather than a general prosperity across the entire market and all industries.

From a global financial perspective, the new high of the S&P 500 reinforces the "inertial anchor" position of dollar assets in global allocation. Europe, Japan, and some emerging markets face uncertainties in growth, earnings, and structural reforms, and in the absence of alternative markets with comparable depth and liquidity, international funds can only continue to raise prices in the U.S. stock market to absorb global savings excess. This concentration further tilts global wealth distribution towards the U.S. equity market.

Historically, repeated new highs in the index are usually accompanied by several characteristics: first, a strong technological narrative (currently AI), second, a high concentration of wealth and pricing power among a few companies, and third, an increasing divergence in the price of financial assets relative to physical assets. This structure does not automatically imply that a turning point has been reached, but it reminds observers that looking solely at "new highs in the index" cannot fully understand the economic picture; it is more critical to break down the index to see who is rising, who is being left behind, and the corresponding industrial and class restructuring behind this.

US Stocks

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·ABAB News
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3 min read
·12d ago
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