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CME Withdraws Registration for 10-Barrel Crude Oil Contract

CME Group has withdrawn the registration for the proposed 10-barrel WTI crude oil futures contract, pausing the listing of this all-weather contract. Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy stated that core industry participants are concerned that introducing 24/7 trading in the energy market before completing due diligence could lead to unintended consequences and increase market risks.

The contract is designed for 1 lot of 10 barrels, one-tenth the size of the existing Micro WTI, cash-settled, and was originally planned for launch on August 30, with continuous trading over weekends and holidays, allowing only limited system maintenance windows. Standard WTI is 1,000 barrels, and Micro WTI is 100 barrels. CME intended to provide a regulated alternative under U.S. jurisdiction, overseen by the CFTC, to compete with domestic forecast market contracts that trade continuously over-the-counter, as well as offshore perpetual contracts accessible to U.S. participants via virtual private networks.

On June 11, CME announced this plan, alongside a proposal to extend 1-ounce gold futures to all-weather trading. On June 22, the CFTC publicly solicited opinions on 24/7 trading and perpetual contracts in the energy sector, with up to 67 questions, focusing on whether weekend liquidity would be sufficient to form prices that are not easily manipulated, whether prices formed by small contracts during the benchmark contract's off-hours would adversely affect WTI, and the risk of negative oil prices. On July 8, the New York Mercantile Exchange submitted the 10-barrel contract via self-certification, but on July 9, the CFTC halted the listing based on its rules. Chairman Michael Selig stated that this move was untimely and indicated that there would not be a one-size-fits-all approach to 24/7 trading.

The American Petroleum Institute pointed out in a letter that continuous trading would complicate weekend scheduling, making commercial hedging more complex, and trigger margin and collateral requirements outside regular hours. BP expressed similar concerns. Traders worry that thin weekend liquidity could distort WTI, the global benchmark. Selig had previously met with executives from energy companies such as Shell, Vitol, BP, and ExxonMobil. The CFTC also retains the review of another 45-day application.

Duffy stated in a statement on October 2 that CME originally hoped to provide a safer and more transparent regulatory alternative, but after thorough communication with industry participants, decided to withdraw the registration. He urged the CFTC to correct unfair competition, restore equal rules in the U.S. derivatives market, and ensure that all products comply with the core principles of the Commodity Exchange Act. This withdrawal only affects the 10-barrel crude oil contract and does not change the existing trading hours for WTI and Micro WTI.

This is a product withdrawal driven by events, not a closure of existing long or short positions in crude oil. Buyers would have been retail and small-scale speculative funds looking to adjust their positions upon the news, while sellers and resistance came from commercial hedgers, market makers, and clearing members: prices under thin weekend liquidity could transmit to the 1,000-barrel benchmark contract and over-the-counter, physical contracts when trading resumes on Monday. Beneficiaries are refiners, traders, and producers who prefer benchmark pricing to remain within traditional hours; those under pressure are forecast markets and offshore perpetual platforms that have already attracted retail flow around the clock, as well as new fee sources that CME has yet to implement.

In September, CME's average daily trading volume reached a record 31.8 million contracts, a year-on-year increase of 22%; energy's average daily trading volume was 3.1 million contracts, up 37% year-on-year, with Micro WTI averaging 240,000 contracts daily, a year-on-year increase of 376%. The all-weather small contract was not launched, so this incremental volume remains within the existing time slots of micro contracts.

Source: Public Information

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Terry Duffy has long led CME since 2002, first integrating the Chicago Mercantile Exchange with the Chicago Board of Trade, New York Mercantile Exchange, and New York Commodity Exchange into a unified clearing system, then using micro contracts to attract retail flow into the benchmark market. E-mini, Micro E-mini, and Micro WTI all follow the same logic: reducing contract value while keeping fees and clearing volumes within CME Clearing. The plan to extend this approach to crude oil weekend trading in June 2026 faced a direct conflict with regulators when the self-certification for the 10-barrel contract was submitted on July 8, before the CFTC's public consultation ended, leading to its halt the next day as deemed untimely by Michael Selig, indicating a direct clash between the exchange and regulators over the listing pace, not just minor product adjustments.

The flow of money is very specific. If the 10-barrel contract were to launch, retail margins would enter CME Clearing over the weekend, allowing the exchange to earn new trading and clearing fees while pulling energy speculative positions back under U.S. jurisdiction that had flowed to forecast markets and offshore perpetuals. After the withdrawal, this incremental margin will not form a price anchor for WTI over the weekend. The commercial side's motives are contrary: API and BP are concerned about weekend scheduling, hedging windows, and post-market margin calls, while Shell, Vitol, and ExxonMobil had previously met with Selig. Duffy's reversal effectively prioritizes "protecting the benchmark from being contaminated by off-hours prices" over "capturing retail."

In contrast, CME's path with Bitcoin involved first launching regulated futures in 2017, followed by micro contracts for retail, while spot and perpetual contracts remained on offshore platforms. This time, crude oil is caught at an earlier stage. The all-weather expansion of 1-ounce gold was announced simultaneously with crude oil, but crude oil was held back due to its connection to global physical benchmarks, assessment windows, and commercial hedging. The industry phase is not about exchanges extending trading hours but rather regulators deciding whether small contracts can gain energy pricing power.

Structurally, this represents a disruption in the transfer of pricing power. The mechanism is that without synchronized physical transactions and assessment windows over the weekend, prices formed by the 10-barrel contract could still influence the 1,000-barrel WTI, over-the-counter swaps, and commercial contracts that write into futures settlement prices when trading resumes on Monday. The CFTC's use of core principles like "not easily manipulated" and orderly price formation to block self-certification effectively separates retail prices from benchmark prices in continuous trading. When rules are not uniform, flow will gravitate towards venues with looser regulations; until rules are aligned, benchmarks will remain within traditional hours.

ABAB News · Law of Cognition

  1. Trading hours can be extended, but pricing power cannot be outsourced.

  2. Small contracts determine flow, large contracts determine price.

  3. Wherever there is regulatory loophole, leverage will flow there.