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After the FOMC decision announcement, Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 2:30 PM ET

After the FOMC decision announcement, Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 2:30 PM ET.

This meeting took place on July 28-29 and is the second interest rate meeting during Warsh's tenure.

Event-driven interest rates and communication expectations, with funds positioning ahead of policy signals, risk assets may be pressured or benefit from the direction of statements.

Source: Public information

ABAB AI Insight

Kevin Warsh, who took over as Fed Chair in May 2026, canceled forward guidance and shortened the statement in his first meeting, emphasizing data dependence and internal task force communication and framework reforms.

Capital pathways indicate that the market will place more weight on the wording of the press conference rather than the statement itself, with resource flows directed towards interest rate-sensitive assets and volatility instruments, motivated by capturing the new chair's immediate judgments on inflation and growth.

Similar to how press conferences during Powell's tenure dominated market reactions, the Fed is currently in a phase of leadership transition and policy framework reassessment.

This is essentially a regulatory change, with the mechanism being that the chair's communication style directly shapes the way market expectations are formed, reducing path dependence and increasing data sensitivity.

ABAB News · Law of Cognition

  1. The press conference is more price-sensitive than the statement

  2. The new chair reshapes expectation formation

  3. Data will ultimately triumph over guidance