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Federal Reserve Decides to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged, Neither Raising nor Lowering

The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate, keeping it unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, neither raising nor lowering rates.

This is the second meeting under the new chair, with three officials voting against the decision and advocating for a rate hike, reaffirming the commitment to achieving price stability.

Market expectations for future policy paths have been repriced due to this event, benefiting risk assets in the short term, while expectations of inflation remaining persistently above target are under pressure.

Source: Public Information

ABAB AI Insight

The Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates unchanged multiple times since the end of 2025, balancing growth and inflation amid Middle Eastern conflicts and supply chain shocks. The new chair continues a cautious stance, refusing to shift direction immediately.

On the capital front, maintaining the status quo preserves policy space, motivated by the need to observe further developments in energy prices and employment data, while responding to internal hawkish pressures to avoid signaling sustained tightening too early.

Similar cases can be seen during the high-interest rate maintenance period of 2023-2024, with current policy at a critical point transitioning from wait-and-see to potential shifts, as the increase in dissenting votes indicates growing internal divisions.

This essentially reflects a change in regulation: monetary policy is shifting from passive response to active management of expectations, utilizing neutral decisions and statement wording to guide the market, delaying actual adjustments for more data confirmation.

ABAB News · Cognitive Law

  1. Staying neutral itself is a policy statement

  2. Dissenting votes signal a potential shift

  3. Lagging data determines the pace of action